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V-Lab

Continental AG AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

27.21%

decreased by 1.17%

1 Week

27.71%

decreased by 0.67%

1 Month

29.31%

increased by 0.93%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 06:49 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Continental AG AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 1.15) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Asymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0402
1.58
αARCH0.0705
10.89***
βGARCH0.9029
114.34***
γleverage1.1506
5.69***

0.973

Persistence

26d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0402
1.58
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0705
10.89***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9029
114.34***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

1.1506
5.69***

Persistence:

0.973

Half-life:

26 days