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V-Lab

Taisei Corp AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

42.14%

decreased by 1.20%

1 Week

42.01%

decreased by 1.33%

1 Month

41.58%

decreased by 1.76%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 12:36 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Taisei Corp AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.54) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1437
15.98***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1073
42.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8647
266.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5421
12.39***

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

24 days