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V-Lab

Taisei Corp Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

32.64%

increased by 0.09%

1 Week

30.77%

decreased by 1.78%

1 Month

25.98%

decreased by 6.57%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 07:44 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/07/2024

to

10/07/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Taisei Corp APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 30, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. The volatility power δ = 0.78 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-lifeδ = 0.78 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0656
4.52***
αARCH0.2244
18.64***
βGARCH0.7596
56.44***
γleverage0.0266
1.07
δpower0.7774
4.11***

0.938

Persistence

11d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0656
4.52***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2244
18.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7596
56.44***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0266
1.07
δ

power

Transformation power

0.7774
4.11***

Persistence:

0.938

Half-life:

11 days