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V-Lab

Taisei Corp Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

50.37%

increased by 5.93%

1 Week

46.27%

increased by 1.83%

1 Month

36.11%

decreased by 8.33%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 12:36 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Taisei Corp APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 30, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. The volatility power δ = 0.78 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0658
18.05***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2249
74.43***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7593
224.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0264
4.24***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.7818
16.51***

Persistence:

0.938

Half-life:

11 days