V-Lab
Mercedes-Benz Group AG Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
26.27%
decreased by 0.29%
1 Week
24.66%
decreased by 1.90%
1 Month
20.47%
decreased by 6.09%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 06:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 26, 1998 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 16% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.61 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0447 | 22.78*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1777 | 61.37*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8034 | 222.68*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1210 | 19.06*** |
δ power Transformation power | 0.6056 | 12.97*** |
Persistence:
0.947
Half-life:
13 days
Other Mercedes-Benz Group AG Analyses
Other Asy. Power MEM Analyses on International Equities