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Fresenius Medical Care AG Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 14th, 2026

1 Day

35.96%

decreased by 2.67%

1 Week

34.23%

decreased by 4.40%

1 Month

29.18%

decreased by 9.45%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 07:56 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/13/2024

to

10/13/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Fresenius Medical Care AG APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 3, 1996 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 15% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.79 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 15% more than positive returnsδ = 0.79 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0376
4.84***
αARCH0.1722
16.99***
βGARCH0.8232
73.11***
γleverage0.0907
3.13***
δpower0.7890
4.52***

0.960

Persistence

17d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0376
4.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1722
16.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8232
73.11***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0907
3.13***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.7890
4.52***

Persistence:

0.960

Half-life:

17 days