V-Lab
Fresenius Medical Care AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
25.40%
decreased by 0.43%
1 Week
25.49%
decreased by 0.34%
1 Month
25.85%
increased by 0.02%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:11 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 3, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 267% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0388 | 11.26*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0167 | 9.30*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9496 | 530.77*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0447 | 11.33*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
61 days
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