Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Fresenius Medical Care AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

33.01%

increased by 0.82%

1 Week

32.94%

increased by 0.75%

1 Month

32.66%

increased by 0.47%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 06:35 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Fresenius Medical Care AG GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 3, 1996 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.990, volatility shocks have a half-life of 70 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 275% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.990, shock half-life ~70 daysLeverage: Negative returns increase volatility 275% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0330
2.79***
αARCH0.0143
2.20**
βGARCH0.9562
157.42***
γleverage0.0393
2.95***

0.990

Persistence

70d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0330
2.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0143
2.20**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9562
157.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0393
2.95***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

70 days