V-Lab
Henkel AG & Co KGaA AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
21.21%
increased by 0.24%
1 Week
21.31%
increased by 0.34%
1 Month
21.66%
increased by 0.69%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 08:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.46) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0306 | 10.28*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0432 | 25.25*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9394 | 479.78*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.4557 | 11.10*** |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
39 days
Other Henkel AG & Co KGaA Analyses
Other AGARCH Analyses on International Equities