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V-Lab

Henkel AG & Co KGaA AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

21.21%

increased by 0.24%

1 Week

21.31%

increased by 0.34%

1 Month

21.66%

increased by 0.69%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 08:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Henkel AG & Co KGaA AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.46) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0306
10.28***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0432
25.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9394
479.78***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4557
11.10***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

39 days