Henkel AG & Co KGaA GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
18.53%
decreased by 0.30%
1 Week
18.73%
decreased by 0.10%
1 Month
19.43%
increased by 0.60%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 03:07 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 104% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 104% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0378 | 3.36*** |
| αARCH | 0.0284 | 3.55*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9402 | 121.19*** |
| γleverage | 0.0296 | 2.14** |
0.983
Persistence41d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0378 | 3.36*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0284 | 3.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9402 | 121.19*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0296 | 2.14** |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
41 days
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