V-Lab
Henkel AG & Co KGaA GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
19.74%
decreased by 0.16%
1 Week
19.89%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Month
20.42%
increased by 0.52%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 103% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 103% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0380 | 3.37*** |
| αARCH | 0.0286 | 3.56*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9399 | 120.66*** |
| γleverage | 0.0295 | 2.12** |
0.983
Persistence41d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0380 | 3.37*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0286 | 3.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9399 | 120.66*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0295 | 2.12** |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
41 days
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