V-Lab
Henkel AG & Co KGaA GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
20.54%
decreased by 0.27%
1 Week
20.66%
decreased by 0.15%
1 Month
21.09%
increased by 0.28%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 103% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0380 | 13.49*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0286 | 14.25*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9399 | 482.76*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0294 | 8.49*** |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
41 days
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