V-Lab
Henkel AG & Co KGaA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
20.69%
decreased by 0.42%
1 Week
20.87%
decreased by 0.24%
1 Month
21.37%
increased by 0.26%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 202% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0283 | 15.42*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8734 | 117.60*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0572 | 16.46*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0103 | 2.12** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0147 | 2.32** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9804 | 114.94*** |
Persistence:
0.930
Half-life:
10 days
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