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V-Lab

Henkel AG & Co KGaA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

19.98%

decreased by 0.12%

1 Week

20.26%

increased by 0.16%

1 Month

20.98%

increased by 0.88%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Henkel AG & Co KGaA MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 198% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0288
15.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8729
118.21***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0572
16.45***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0102
2.15**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0146
2.36**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9806
118.15***

Persistence:

0.930

Half-life:

10 days