V-Lab
Henkel AG & Co KGaA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
19.98%
decreased by 0.12%
1 Week
20.26%
increased by 0.16%
1 Month
20.98%
increased by 0.88%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 198% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0288 | 15.64*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8729 | 118.21*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0572 | 16.45*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0102 | 2.15** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0146 | 2.36** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9806 | 118.15*** |
Persistence:
0.930
Half-life:
10 days
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