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Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

31.84%

decreased by 0.36%

1 Week

34.46%

increased by 2.26%

1 Month

35.53%

increased by 3.33%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 06:46 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 2, 2006 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow126
αARCH0.1525
2.94***
βGARCH0.3035
2.38**
γleverage-0.0001
0.00
λ₁tau intercept0.6318
0.43
λ₂forecast adj.0.0961
0.37
λ₃tau persistence0.7953
1.55

0.456

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1525
2.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3035
2.38**
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0001
0.00
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.6318
0.43
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0961
0.37
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7953
1.55

Persistence:

0.456

Half-life:

1 days