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V-Lab

Infineon Technologies AG AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

54.27%

decreased by 3.81%

1 Week

53.83%

decreased by 4.25%

1 Month

52.36%

decreased by 5.72%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 06:48 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Infineon Technologies AG AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 10, 2000 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.88) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Asymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1602
4.74***
αARCH0.1266
18.73***
βGARCH0.8428
173.96***
γleverage0.8848
6.10***

0.969

Persistence

22d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1602
4.74***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1266
18.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8428
173.96***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.8848
6.10***

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days