V-Lab
Infineon Technologies AG AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026
1 Day
54.27%
decreased by 3.81%
1 Week
53.83%
decreased by 4.25%
1 Month
52.36%
decreased by 5.72%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 06:48 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 2000 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.88) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.
σ
AGARCH Model
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Asymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1602 | 4.74*** |
| αARCH | 0.1266 | 18.73*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8428 | 173.96*** |
| γleverage | 0.8848 | 6.10*** |
0.969
Persistence22d
Half-lifeσ
AGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1602 | 4.74*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1266 | 18.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8428 | 173.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.8848 | 6.10*** |
Persistence:
0.969
Half-life:
22 days
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