Infineon Technologies AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
64.25%
decreased by 0.69%
1 Week
63.88%
decreased by 1.06%
1 Month
62.90%
decreased by 2.04%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 2000 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 304% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0300 | 15.80*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8690 | 164.74*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0913 | 23.58*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0428 | 6.99*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0405 | 5.64*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9534 | 122.45*** |
Persistence:
0.945
Half-life:
12 days
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