V-Lab
Infineon Technologies AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
56.71%
decreased by 1.93%
1 Week
56.65%
decreased by 1.99%
1 Month
56.50%
decreased by 2.14%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 08:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 2000 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 303% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 303% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 56 | |
| αARCH | 0.0297 | 4.03*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8688 | 55.06*** |
| γleverage | 0.0901 | 5.88*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0430 | 2.00** |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0415 | 2.41** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9523 | 50.59*** |
0.944
Persistence12d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0297 | 4.03*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8688 | 55.06*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0901 | 5.88*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0430 | 2.00** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0415 | 2.41** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9523 | 50.59*** |
Persistence:
0.944
Half-life:
12 days
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