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V-Lab

Infineon Technologies AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

61.94%

decreased by 2.85%

1 Week

61.27%

decreased by 3.52%

1 Month

59.93%

decreased by 4.86%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Infineon Technologies AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 10, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 307% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0296
15.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8693
165.02***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0910
23.56***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0429
6.94***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0408
5.69***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9530
122.19***

Persistence:

0.944

Half-life:

12 days