V-Lab
Infineon Technologies AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
61.94%
decreased by 2.85%
1 Week
61.27%
decreased by 3.52%
1 Month
59.93%
decreased by 4.86%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 307% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0296 | 15.62*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8693 | 165.02*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0910 | 23.56*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0429 | 6.94*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0408 | 5.69*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9530 | 122.19*** |
Persistence:
0.944
Half-life:
12 days
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