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V-Lab

Infineon Technologies AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

56.71%

decreased by 1.93%

1 Week

56.65%

decreased by 1.99%

1 Month

56.50%

decreased by 2.14%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 08:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Infineon Technologies AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 10, 2000 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 303% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 303% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow56
αARCH0.0297
4.03***
βGARCH0.8688
55.06***
γleverage0.0901
5.88***
λ₁tau intercept0.0430
2.00**
λ₂forecast adj.0.0415
2.41**
λ₃tau persistence0.9523
50.59***

0.944

Persistence

12d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0297
4.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8688
55.06***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0901
5.88***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0430
2.00**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0415
2.41**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9523
50.59***

Persistence:

0.944

Half-life:

12 days