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V-Lab

Aqylon Nexus Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

62.40%

increased by 1.61%

1 Week

61.36%

increased by 0.57%

1 Month

58.47%

decreased by 2.32%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Aqylon Nexus Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 7, 2001 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 20% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

91
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1408
31.17***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7823
54.02***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0288
4.28***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.03
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0999
0.00

Persistence:

0.938

Half-life:

11 days