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V-Lab

Aqylon Nexus Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

59.40%

decreased by 5.85%

1 Week

58.68%

decreased by 6.57%

1 Month

56.67%

decreased by 8.58%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 07:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Aqylon Nexus Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 7, 2001 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 20% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

91
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1410
31.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7821
53.99***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0287
4.28***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.03
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0997
0.00

Persistence:

0.937

Half-life:

11 days