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V-Lab

Aqylon Nexus Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

63.04%

increased by 1.53%

1 Week

62.21%

increased by 0.70%

1 Month

59.83%

decreased by 1.68%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Aqylon Nexus Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 7, 2001 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 21% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6501
7.45***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1380
19.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7927
93.25***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0287
2.28**

Persistence:

0.945

Half-life:

12 days