V-Lab
Aqylon Nexus Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
63.04%
increased by 1.53%
1 Week
62.21%
increased by 0.70%
1 Month
59.83%
decreased by 1.68%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 7, 2001 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 21% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6501 | 7.45*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1380 | 19.49*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7927 | 93.25*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0287 | 2.28** |
Persistence:
0.945
Half-life:
12 days
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