Aqylon Nexus Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
48.57%
decreased by 3.93%
1 Week
49.22%
decreased by 3.28%
1 Month
51.02%
decreased by 1.48%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 7, 2001 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 20% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6478 | 7.47*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1382 | 19.62*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7929 | 93.51*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0279 | 2.24** |
Persistence:
0.945
Half-life:
12 days
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