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V-Lab

Aqylon Nexus Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

48.57%

decreased by 3.93%

1 Week

49.22%

decreased by 3.28%

1 Month

51.02%

decreased by 1.48%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Aqylon Nexus Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 7, 2001 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 20% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6478
7.47***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1382
19.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7929
93.51***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0279
2.24**

Persistence:

0.945

Half-life:

12 days