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V-Lab

Sam Yung Trading Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

33.07%

decreased by 0.67%

1 Week

33.18%

decreased by 0.56%

1 Month

33.61%

decreased by 0.13%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sam Yung Trading Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0143
14.08***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0506
20.96***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9501
674.33***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0015
-0.37

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-