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V-Lab

Sam Yung Trading Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

25.71%

decreased by 1.42%

1 Week

24.99%

decreased by 2.14%

1 Month

22.73%

decreased by 4.40%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sam Yung Trading Co Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 14 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0041
7.55***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0934
8.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8595
48.75***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.0032
-0.07
γ20.0398
0.55
γ3-0.1572
-2.64***
γ40.2434
3.96***
γ5-0.2254
-3.93***
γ60.2095
3.91***
γ7-0.1917
-3.46***
γ80.0930
1.71*
γ90.0126
0.22
γ10-0.0136
-0.28

Persistence:

0.953

Half-life:

14 days