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V-Lab

Sam Yung Trading Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

30.98%

decreased by 1.49%

1 Week

31.91%

decreased by 0.56%

1 Month

33.40%

increased by 0.93%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sam Yung Trading Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 36% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1046
24.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7192
55.48***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0378
5.22***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0047
2.21**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0230
5.17***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9767
207.99***

Persistence:

0.843

Half-life:

4 days