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V-Lab

Capgemini Se MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

39.10%

decreased by 0.96%

1 Week

38.78%

decreased by 1.28%

1 Month

37.75%

decreased by 2.31%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Capgemini Se MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 16, 2004 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

116
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.01
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9235
243.16***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0723
23.86***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0572
2.00**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0457
2.33**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9396
35.69***

Persistence:

0.960

Half-life:

17 days