V-Lab
Victory Electric Vehicles International Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026
1 Day
41.03%
decreased by 1.56%
1 Week
44.56%
increased by 1.97%
1 Month
45.49%
increased by 2.90%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 15, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.4420 | 7.24*** |
| αARCH | 0.2471 | 0.96 |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 2.3833 | 4.32*** |
0.247
Persistence0d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4420 | 7.24*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2471 | 0.96 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 2.3833 | 4.32*** |
Persistence:
0.247
Half-life:
0 days
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