V-Lab
Victory Electric Vehicles International Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
47.12%
increased by 3.99%
1 Week
48.86%
increased by 5.73%
1 Month
49.33%
increased by 6.20%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 15, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3327 | 7.48*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2496 | 0.93 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 2.2317 | 3.11*** |
Persistence:
0.250
Half-life:
0 days
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