V-Lab
Victory Electric Vehicles International Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026
1 Day
47.80%
increased by 6.24%
1 Week
46.49%
increased by 4.93%
1 Month
46.12%
increased by 4.56%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 07:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 15, 2026 to Oct 1, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.4063 | 7.14*** |
| αARCH | 0.2504 | 1.05 |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 1.8792 | 3.66*** |
0.250
Persistence1d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4063 | 7.14*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2504 | 1.05 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 1.8792 | 3.66*** |
Persistence:
0.250
Half-life:
1 days
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