V-Lab
Victory Electric Vehicles International Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
54.65%
increased by 5.05%
1 Week
54.04%
increased by 4.44%
1 Month
53.87%
increased by 4.27%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 15, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2277 | 7.75*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2530 | 0.92 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 1.9285 | 1.93* |
Persistence:
0.253
Half-life:
1 days
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