V-Lab
Victory Electric Vehicles International Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
45.97%
increased by 0.57%
1 Week
50.85%
increased by 5.45%
1 Month
52.13%
increased by 6.73%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 10:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 15, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2717 | 7.63*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2528 | 0.92 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 2.1124 | 2.42** |
Persistence:
0.253
Half-life:
1 days
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