Victory Electric Vehicles International Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
57.85%
increased by 10.65%
1 Week
51.53%
increased by 4.33%
1 Month
49.51%
increased by 2.31%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:06 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 15, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0105 | 5.66*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2853 | 1.04 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -5.0529 | -0.63 |
Persistence:
0.285
Half-life:
1 days
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