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V-Lab

Zhejiang MTCN Technology Co Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

94.67%

decreased by 2.07%

1 Week

102.69%

increased by 5.95%

1 Month

110.69%

increased by 13.95%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 07:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Zhejiang MTCN Technology Co Ltd SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2020 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.2919
6.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1672
4.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5828
6.23***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ12.4095
1.95*
γ2-2.4923
-1.26
γ3-0.7522
-0.52
γ43.3784
2.67***
γ5-5.7302
-4.51***
γ64.8170
2.95***
γ71.2017
0.60

Persistence:

0.750

Half-life:

2 days