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V-Lab

Zhejiang MTCN Technology Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

51.89%

decreased by 2.17%

1 Week

54.92%

increased by 0.86%

1 Month

57.40%

increased by 3.34%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Zhejiang MTCN Technology Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 22% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1482
17.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6609
39.79***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0329
2.85***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.1516
0.84
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7036
0.89
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.826

Half-life:

4 days