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V-Lab

Zhejiang MTCN Technology Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

84.39%

decreased by 16.07%

1 Week

78.55%

decreased by 21.91%

1 Month

66.67%

decreased by 33.79%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 07:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Zhejiang MTCN Technology Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2020 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow41
αARCH0.1615
4.90***
βGARCH0.6488
9.32***
γleverage0.0239
0.52
λ₁tau intercept3.3333
1.96*
λ₂forecast adj.0.6930
4.43***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.822

Persistence

4d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1615
4.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6488
9.32***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0239
0.52
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.3333
1.96*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6930
4.43***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.822

Half-life:

4 days