V-Lab
Zhejiang MTCN Technology Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
51.89%
decreased by 2.17%
1 Week
54.92%
increased by 0.86%
1 Month
57.40%
increased by 3.34%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 22% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1482 | 17.57*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6609 | 39.79*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0329 | 2.85*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.1516 | 0.84 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7036 | 0.89 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.826
Half-life:
4 days
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