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V-Lab

Zhejiang MTCN Technology Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

43.19%

decreased by 2.65%

1 Week

44.40%

decreased by 1.44%

1 Month

47.65%

increased by 1.81%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Zhejiang MTCN Technology Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6302
14.53***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1511
12.43***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8080
96.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0284
-1.39

Persistence:

0.945

Half-life:

12 days