V-Lab
Zhejiang MTCN Technology Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
43.19%
decreased by 2.65%
1 Week
44.40%
decreased by 1.44%
1 Month
47.65%
increased by 1.81%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6302 | 14.53*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1511 | 12.43*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8080 | 96.07*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0284 | -1.39 |
Persistence:
0.945
Half-life:
12 days
Other Zhejiang MTCN Technology Co Ltd Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on International Equities