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V-Lab
V-Lab

Zhejiang MTCN Technology Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

87.15%

decreased by 12.00%

1 Week

82.56%

decreased by 16.59%

1 Month

69.98%

decreased by 29.17%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 07:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Zhejiang MTCN Technology Co Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2020 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.3083
7.29***
αARCH0.1679
5.29***
βGARCH0.7537
17.60***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0221
2.15**

0.922

Persistence

8d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3083
7.29***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1679
5.29***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7537
17.60***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0221
2.15**

Persistence:

0.922

Half-life:

8 days