V-Lab
Zhejiang MTCN Technology Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
39.24%
decreased by 3.07%
1 Week
40.13%
decreased by 2.18%
1 Month
42.32%
increased by 0.01%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3406 | 7.36*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1577 | 5.17*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7703 | 19.24*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0256 | 2.47** |
Persistence:
0.928
Half-life:
9 days
Other Zhejiang MTCN Technology Co Ltd Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on International Equities