V-Lab
Zhejiang MTCN Technology Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
87.15%
decreased by 12.00%
1 Week
82.56%
decreased by 16.59%
1 Month
69.98%
decreased by 29.17%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 07:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2020 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.3083 | 7.29*** |
| αARCH | 0.1679 | 5.29*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7537 | 17.60*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0221 | 2.15** |
0.922
Persistence8d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3083 | 7.29*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1679 | 5.29*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7537 | 17.60*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0221 | 2.15** |
Persistence:
0.922
Half-life:
8 days
Other Zhejiang MTCN Technology Co Ltd Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on International Equities