V-Lab
Zhejiang MTCN Technology Co Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
55.65%
decreased by 3.42%
1 Week
54.64%
decreased by 4.43%
1 Month
52.00%
decreased by 7.07%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 07:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. The volatility power δ = 1.36 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3129 | 6.35*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2698 | 32.25*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7045 | 80.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0203 | 1.63 |
δ power Transformation power | 1.3572 | 10.18*** |
Persistence:
0.930
Half-life:
10 days
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