V-Lab
Zhejiang MTCN Technology Co Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
42.70%
decreased by 4.13%
1 Week
44.79%
decreased by 2.04%
1 Month
50.85%
increased by 4.02%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 07:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2021 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days.
μ
MEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 19-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.6299 | 1.44 |
| αARCH | 0.2587 | 5.44*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7059 | 20.61*** |
0.965
Persistence19d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6299 | 1.44 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2587 | 5.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7059 | 20.61*** |
Persistence:
0.965
Half-life:
19 days
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