LANXESS AG MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 14th, 2026
1 Day
39.41%
decreased by 1.57%
1 Week
39.36%
decreased by 1.62%
1 Month
39.20%
decreased by 1.78%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 07:52 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 31, 2005 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 31 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 31 days.
μ
MEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 31-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1308 | 2.20** |
| αARCH | 0.1427 | 8.25*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8348 | 66.94*** |
0.978
Persistence31d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1308 | 2.20** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1427 | 8.25*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8348 | 66.94*** |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
31 days
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