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V-Lab

LANXESS AG GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

36.72%

decreased by 1.65%

1 Week

36.78%

decreased by 1.59%

1 Month

36.98%

decreased by 1.39%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 06:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of LANXESS AG GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 31, 2005 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 60 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 60 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.63 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

6.0507
5.20***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0551
29.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9884
402.95***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.6256
6.20***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

60 days