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LANXESS AG GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

49.00%

decreased by 0.55%

1 Week

48.80%

decreased by 0.75%

1 Month

48.06%

decreased by 1.49%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 06:36 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of LANXESS AG GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 31, 2005 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 62 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 62 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.70 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 62-day half-lifev = 5.70 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run6.1148
1.30
αscore0.0545
7.54***
βpersistence0.9889
105.16***
νDF5.6962
1.55

0.989

Persistence

62d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

6.1148
1.30
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0545
7.54***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9889
105.16***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.6962
1.55

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

62 days