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V-Lab

LANXESS AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

37.02%

decreased by 0.97%

1 Week

37.09%

decreased by 0.90%

1 Month

37.31%

decreased by 0.68%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 06:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of LANXESS AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 31, 2005 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0093
4.29***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9343
431.73***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0840
23.52***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.3113
0.06
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6205
0.10

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

48 days