V-Lab
LANXESS AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
43.30%
increased by 1.48%
1 Week
43.17%
increased by 1.35%
1 Month
42.72%
increased by 0.90%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 08:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 31, 2005 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0902 | 2.88*** |
| αARCH | 0.0099 | 1.53 |
| βGARCH | 0.9347 | 105.23*** |
| γleverage | 0.0806 | 3.78*** |
0.985
Persistence46d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0902 | 2.88*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0099 | 1.53 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9347 | 105.23*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0806 | 3.78*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
46 days
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