LANXESS AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026
1 Day
45.00%
increased by 0.02%
1 Week
44.83%
decreased by 0.15%
1 Month
44.20%
decreased by 0.78%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 06:36 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 31, 2005 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0901 | 2.91*** |
| αARCH | 0.0100 | 1.54 |
| βGARCH | 0.9348 | 105.29*** |
| γleverage | 0.0803 | 3.78*** |
0.985
Persistence46d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0901 | 2.91*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0100 | 1.54 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9348 | 105.29*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0803 | 3.78*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
46 days
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