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V-Lab

Jiangyin Zhongnan Heavy Industries Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

42.56%

increased by 5.41%

1 Week

43.08%

increased by 5.93%

1 Month

44.42%

increased by 7.27%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:15 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jiangyin Zhongnan Heavy Industries Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 13, 2010 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5823
14.65***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1332
13.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7975
81.01***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0031
0.16

Persistence:

0.932

Half-life:

10 days