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V-Lab

Jiangyin Zhongnan Heavy Industries Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

38.93%

increased by 5.88%

1 Week

39.96%

increased by 6.91%

1 Month

42.54%

increased by 9.49%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 06:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jiangyin Zhongnan Heavy Industries Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 13, 2010 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5804
14.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1325
13.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7981
81.31***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0032
0.17

Persistence:

0.932

Half-life:

10 days