V-Lab
Jiangyin Zhongnan Heavy Industries Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
48.55%
increased by 5.62%
1 Week
44.15%
increased by 1.22%
1 Month
43.22%
increased by 0.29%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 07:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 13, 2010 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 109% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1537 | 9.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1671 | 9.56*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.7675 | 0.52 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3966 | 0.53 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.3951 | 0.34 |
Persistence:
0.237
Half-life:
0 days
Other Jiangyin Zhongnan Heavy Industries Co Ltd Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities