Jiangyin Zhongnan Heavy Industries Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
51.31%
increased by 14.37%
1 Week
44.83%
increased by 7.89%
1 Month
44.05%
increased by 7.11%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 13, 2010 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 109% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1539 | 9.17*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1681 | 9.58*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.7815 | 0.52 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4006 | 0.53 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.3900 | 0.33 |
Persistence:
0.238
Half-life:
0 days
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