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V-Lab

Jiangyin Zhongnan Heavy Industries Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

48.55%

increased by 5.62%

1 Week

44.15%

increased by 1.22%

1 Month

43.22%

increased by 0.29%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 07:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jiangyin Zhongnan Heavy Industries Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 13, 2010 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 109% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1537
9.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1671
9.56***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.7675
0.52
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3966
0.53
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.3951
0.34

Persistence:

0.237

Half-life:

0 days