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V-Lab

Jiangyin Zhongnan Heavy Industries Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

51.31%

increased by 14.37%

1 Week

44.83%

increased by 7.89%

1 Month

44.05%

increased by 7.11%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:15 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jiangyin Zhongnan Heavy Industries Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 13, 2010 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 109% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1539
9.17***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1681
9.58***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.7815
0.52
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.4006
0.53
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.3900
0.33

Persistence:

0.238

Half-life:

0 days