Red Sea Housing Services GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
40.53%
decreased by 2.27%
1 Week
40.54%
decreased by 2.26%
1 Month
40.54%
decreased by 2.26%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:06 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 5, 2007 to Jul 9, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1904 | 19.29*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1083 | 15.86*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8649 | 201.51*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0048 | -0.48 |
Persistence:
0.971
Half-life:
23 days
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