V-Lab
Red Sea Housing Services GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
30.86%
increased by 0.26%
1 Week
31.48%
increased by 0.88%
1 Month
33.46%
increased by 2.86%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 5, 2007 to Aug 20, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1884 | 19.20*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1077 | 15.92*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8661 | 203.03*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0055 | -0.56 |
Persistence:
0.971
Half-life:
24 days
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