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V-Lab

Red Sea Housing Services MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

0.00%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

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graph of Red Sea Housing Services MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 5, 2007 to Jul 9, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

1.0000
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0000
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.7504
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-