Finnair OYJ GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
46.83%
decreased by 1.29%
1 Week
46.71%
decreased by 1.41%
1 Month
46.24%
decreased by 1.88%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 17, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 47 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 47 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1029 | 14.64*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0525 | 13.36*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9300 | 438.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0058 | 1.01 |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
47 days
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