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V-Lab

Finnair OYJ GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

51.11%

decreased by 3.43%

1 Week

50.88%

decreased by 3.66%

1 Month

50.08%

decreased by 4.46%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Finnair OYJ GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 17, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.52 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

8.0280
7.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0813
40.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9800
383.10***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.5241
23.32***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days