V-Lab
T42 LoT Tracking Solutions PLC GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
326.37%
decreased by 50.12%
1 Week
364.36%
decreased by 12.13%
1 Month
480.26%
increased by 103.77%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 27, 2013 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5,399.8220 | 3.88*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1359 | 122.35*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9894 | 354.76*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0037 |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
65 days
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