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V-Lab

T42 LoT Tracking Solutions PLC Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

56.91%

decreased by 0.31%

1 Week

60.78%

increased by 3.56%

1 Month

69.39%

increased by 12.17%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of T42 LoT Tracking Solutions PLC S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 27, 2013 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6307
2.87***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0854
2.88***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8360
14.00***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ10.1673
0.53
γ2-0.6375
-1.43
γ30.8248
3.24***
γ4-0.4164
-1.91*
γ5-0.0320
-0.15
γ60.1500
1.00

Persistence:

0.921

Half-life:

8 days