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V-Lab

T42 LoT Tracking Solutions PLC MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

60.87%

decreased by 0.11%

1 Week

68.77%

increased by 7.79%

1 Month

77.80%

increased by 16.82%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of T42 LoT Tracking Solutions PLC MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 27, 2013 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 235% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0815
8.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3060
4.24***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1914
7.60***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

8.4873
0.30
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2303
0.31
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5315
0.34

Persistence:

0.483

Half-life:

1 days