V-Lab
T42 LoT Tracking Solutions PLC MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
60.87%
decreased by 0.11%
1 Week
68.77%
increased by 7.79%
1 Month
77.80%
increased by 16.82%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 27, 2013 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 235% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0815 | 8.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3060 | 4.24*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1914 | 7.60*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 8.4873 | 0.30 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2303 | 0.31 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5315 | 0.34 |
Persistence:
0.483
Half-life:
1 days
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