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V-Lab

T42 LoT Tracking Solutions PLC MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

71.45%

decreased by 4.81%

1 Week

76.62%

increased by 0.36%

1 Month

81.97%

increased by 5.71%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of T42 LoT Tracking Solutions PLC MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 27, 2013 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 239% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0807
8.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3048
4.19***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1932
7.62***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

8.8456
0.29
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2258
0.30
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5278
0.32

Persistence:

0.482

Half-life:

1 days