V-Lab
T42 LoT Tracking Solutions PLC GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
56.76%
decreased by 0.42%
1 Week
60.44%
increased by 3.26%
1 Month
71.06%
increased by 13.88%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 27, 2013 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 80% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3011 | 12.47*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0586 | 11.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8852 | 137.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0471 | 3.08*** |
Persistence:
0.967
Half-life:
21 days
Other T42 LoT Tracking Solutions PLC Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on International Equities