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V-Lab

T42 LoT Tracking Solutions PLC GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

56.76%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Week

60.44%

increased by 3.26%

1 Month

71.06%

increased by 13.88%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of T42 LoT Tracking Solutions PLC GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 27, 2013 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 80% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3011
12.47***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0586
11.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8852
137.09***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0471
3.08***

Persistence:

0.967

Half-life:

21 days