T42 LoT Tracking Solutions PLC GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
65.33%
decreased by 0.88%
1 Week
68.26%
increased by 2.05%
1 Month
76.82%
increased by 10.61%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 27, 2013 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 83% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4067 | 12.40*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0584 | 11.06*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8817 | 129.13*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0486 | 3.12*** |
Persistence:
0.964
Half-life:
19 days
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