Eagle Football Group GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
34.44%
increased by 0.15%
1 Week
34.56%
increased by 0.27%
1 Month
34.82%
increased by 0.53%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 8, 2007 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4145 | 11.85*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2163 | 13.43*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6964 | 67.04*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0058 | 0.21 |
Persistence:
0.916
Half-life:
8 days
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