Eagle Football Group GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
49.09%
increased by 5.99%
1 Week
49.33%
increased by 6.23%
1 Month
50.21%
increased by 7.11%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 8, 2007 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 52 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 52 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.69 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 13.1935 | 3.30*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1709 | 85.82*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9868 | 253.35*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.6938 | 82.98*** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
52 days
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