Eagle Football Group MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
40.00%
increased by 0.38%
1 Week
45.23%
increased by 5.61%
1 Month
56.58%
increased by 16.96%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 8, 2007 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1955 | 16.89*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6091 | 12.30*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0123 | 0.80 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.0652 | 0.99 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4694 | 0.52 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0260 | 0.02 |
Persistence:
0.811
Half-life:
3 days
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