V-Lab
Eagle Football Group MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
34.26%
increased by 2.40%
1 Week
37.99%
increased by 6.13%
1 Month
43.28%
increased by 11.42%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 8, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1932 | 16.97*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6114 | 12.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0133 | 0.87 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.1253 | 1.06 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4786 | 0.56 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0001 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.811
Half-life:
3 days
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