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V-Lab

Eagle Football Group Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

36.18%

increased by 0.42%

1 Week

37.21%

increased by 1.45%

1 Month

39.43%

increased by 3.67%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Eagle Football Group S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 8, 2007 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6363
4.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2319
7.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6735
17.37***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.3426
-1.54
γ20.4247
1.19
γ3-0.2673
-1.00
γ40.5730
2.73***
γ5-0.9295
-4.08***
γ60.9302
4.06***
γ7-0.4071
-1.53
γ80.0173
0.05
γ9-0.0900
-0.19
γ100.1146
0.29

Persistence:

0.905

Half-life:

7 days