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V-Lab

Helix Resources Limited GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

788.09%

increased by 10.15%

1 Week

817.34%

increased by 39.40%

1 Month

865.70%

increased by 87.76%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 05:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Helix Resources Limited GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3,211.4050
11.88***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1212
31.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8560
73.01***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0101
1,716.54***

Persistence:

0.856

Half-life:

4 days