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Helix Resources Limited GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

1,026.87%

decreased by 166.00%

1 Week

1,001.07%

decreased by 191.80%

1 Month

955.92%

decreased by 236.95%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Helix Resources Limited GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026
Illiquid Asset
Extended Optimization

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Unreliable tails: v = 2.01 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst3,377.2846
2.97***
αARCH0.1228
7.81***
βGARCH0.8507
17.54***
νDF2.0096
441.66***

0.851

Persistence

4d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3,377.2846
2.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1228
7.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8507
17.54***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0096
441.66***

Persistence:

0.851

Half-life:

4 days