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Helix Resources Limited GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

97.73%

increased by 0.42%

1 Week

98.53%

increased by 1.22%

1 Month

101.32%

increased by 4.01%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 08:47 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Helix Resources Limited GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 35 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 35 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 8.65 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 35-day half-lifev = 8.65 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run112.3191
1.72*
αscore0.1631
6.25***
βpersistence0.9806
84.74***
νDF8.6548
1.36

0.981

Persistence

35d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

112.3191
1.72*
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1631
6.25***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9806
84.74***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

8.6548
1.36

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

35 days