Helix Resources Limited GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
859.60%
increased by 185.68%
1 Week
865.97%
increased by 192.05%
1 Month
876.97%
increased by 203.05%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 05:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3,108.1360 | 11.87*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1218 | 32.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8568 | 73.51*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0104 | 1,678.14*** |
Persistence:
0.857
Half-life:
4 days
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