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V-Lab

Helix Resources Limited GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

859.60%

increased by 185.68%

1 Week

865.97%

increased by 192.05%

1 Month

876.97%

increased by 203.05%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 05:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Helix Resources Limited GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3,108.1360
11.87***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1218
32.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8568
73.51***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0104
1,678.14***

Persistence:

0.857

Half-life:

4 days