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V-Lab

Helix Resources Limited GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

532.48%

decreased by 37.47%

1 Week

626.96%

increased by 57.01%

1 Month

762.17%

increased by 192.22%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 05:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Helix Resources Limited GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2,844.7728
11.92***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1219
31.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8537
72.06***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0114
1,511.16***

Persistence:

0.854

Half-life:

4 days