V-Lab
Helix Resources Limited GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
788.09%
increased by 10.15%
1 Week
817.34%
increased by 39.40%
1 Month
865.70%
increased by 87.76%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 05:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3,211.4050 | 11.88*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1212 | 31.99*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8560 | 73.01*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0101 | 1,716.54*** |
Persistence:
0.856
Half-life:
4 days
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