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Helix Resources Limited GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

1,258.93%

increased by 159.31%

1 Week

1,224.46%

increased by 124.84%

1 Month

1,164.20%

increased by 64.58%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 06:04 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Helix Resources Limited GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Unreliable tails: v = 2.01 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst4,975.6417
2.96***
αARCH0.1234
7.80***
βGARCH0.8498
17.33***
νDF2.0065
652.08***

0.850

Persistence

4d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4,975.6417
2.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1234
7.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8498
17.33***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0065
652.08***

Persistence:

0.850

Half-life:

4 days