V-Lab
Helix Resources Limited Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026
1 Day
145.17%
decreased by 3.50%
1 Week
144.14%
decreased by 4.53%
1 Month
140.54%
decreased by 8.13%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 06:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026Illiquid Asset
Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 30 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 30 days.
μ
APMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 30-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0000 | 2.17** |
| αARCH | 0.0691 | 5.68*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9106 | 79.95*** |
| γleverage | -0.1063 | -1.55 |
| δpower | 1.8711 | 7.57*** |
0.977
Persistence30d
Half-lifeμ
APMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0000 | 2.17** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0691 | 5.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9106 | 79.95*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1063 | -1.55 |
δ power Transformation power | 1.8711 | 7.57*** |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
30 days
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