V-Lab
Helix Resources Limited GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
129.52%
decreased by 3.92%
1 Week
129.37%
decreased by 4.07%
1 Month
128.85%
decreased by 4.59%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026Illiquid Asset
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 34-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2550 | 2.28** |
| αARCH | 0.0577 | 2.78*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9186 | 62.89*** |
| γleverage | 0.0075 | 0.18 |
0.980
Persistence34d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2550 | 2.28** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0577 | 2.78*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9186 | 62.89*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0075 | 0.18 |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
34 days
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