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V-Lab

Helix Resources Limited Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

261.80%

decreased by 4.73%

1 Week

283.91%

increased by 17.38%

1 Month

321.65%

increased by 55.12%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 06:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Helix Resources Limited SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9425
6.57***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1271
7.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7464
19.62***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ10.0519
1.63
γ2-0.1005
-2.34**
γ30.1044
3.64***
γ4-0.0887
-2.61***
γ50.0306
0.77
γ60.0329
0.86
γ70.0088
0.21

Persistence:

0.873

Half-life:

5 days