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XtalPi Holdings Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

72.08%

decreased by 4.26%

1 Week

75.16%

decreased by 1.18%

1 Month

76.42%

increased by 0.08%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

All

graph of XtalPi Holdings Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 9, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 87.04 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-lifev = 87.04 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run23.5097
6.29***
αscore0.1457
0.44
βpersistence0.4517
0.86
νDF87.0446
0.01

0.452

Persistence

1d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

23.5097
6.29***
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1457
0.44
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.4517
0.86
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

87.0446
0.01

Persistence:

0.452

Half-life:

1 days