V-Lab
XtalPi Holdings Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
108.25%
decreased by 1.00%
1 Week
110.75%
increased by 1.50%
1 Month
116.56%
increased by 7.31%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 06:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 9, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 3.48*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0617 | 1.66* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8376 | 22.00*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0371 | 0.41 |
Persistence:
0.918
Half-life:
8 days
Other XtalPi Holdings Ltd Analyses
Other Asy. MEM Analyses on International Equities